TCGIntel — AI-powered TCG intelligence
Dated call · TCGIntel Select
ST21-014Event Prize· Official Event Top Prize · Japanese

Monkey D. Luffy

Strong Buy

Medium conviction · Thesis-only · Founder call

Target$5,000+101%

now $2,485 · 7 real sales

2.5× on our $1,000 entry · disclosed

Official Event Top Prize — awarded, not sold; supply is tiny

Upward-arrow design language — Bandai's motif for tournament/event/promo cards, historically a precursor to low print runs and stronger collector demand

PSA 10 copies exist and grade well — high-grade scarcity compounds

Durable Luffy demand — the franchise's anchor character

Public track record

40 calls on record · 19 disclosed · nothing deleted, nothing backdated

Same serial, different cards

ST21-014 · 2 variants

This serial spans $300 to $2,485. The price apps show one number for all of them — that's the trap.

Every price above is variant-matched — a real sold-comp median where the card trades, a model fair value (est) where it hasn't. Never a blended average across the serial.

Why $2,485

median of 7 PSA 10 sold · as of Jul 28, 2026
$2,485 — the price we quoteour call · Jun 23we paid $1,000$2,251$2,599$2,025$2,550$2,350Jun 23Jul 21

7 sales over 28 days, from $2,025 to $2,599. The latest was $2,500 on Jul 21, 2026. We called it on Jun 23, 20267 of these sales happened after that.

Each dot is one real sale — the greener it is, the cheaper it sold.best pricehighest

We don't join the dots with a line — that would invent prices nobody ever paid.

$2,500eBay · soldJul 21, 2026PSA 10
$2,550eBay · soldJul 20, 2026PSA 10
$2,350eBay · soldJul 20, 2026PSA 10
$2,599eBay · soldJul 16, 2026PSA 10
$2,025eBay · soldJul 16, 2026PSA 10

JP Official Event Top Prize (Flagship Battle 2025), PSA 10. The English #006 Event Prize and PSA 9 copies are different assets, priced separately.

Price since our call

+149%
Our entry · $1,000 on Jan 1, 2026 Target · $5,000

Recorded prices since our call — model estimate, not a continuous market quote.

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Why we believe it

Official Event Top-Prize Luffy — handed out only to top finishers, so the print run is a rounding error next to any retail card. Founder has held since January (entry, current price and multiple are shown above, kept current from the sold-comp ledger). PSA 10 comps cooled from a May–June spike but the position is well in the money. The upward-arrow design language Bandai reserves for tournament, event and promo cards is the same tell that has historically preceded low print runs and durable demand.

What one copy would have done

Bought at our disclosed entry, held to today. Real and disclosed — not a projection.

Invested

$1,000

Worth today

$2,485

Profit

+$1,485(+149%)

The other side

  • Collectibles are high-variance — demand can cool and prices can fall.
  • Graded population grows over time, which can soften high-grade premiums.
  • Population figures shown here are illustrative until the live pipeline lands.

Founder position — PSA 10, disclosed, held since Jan 2026 · OPEN

How this belief has changed

  1. BUY call opened

    2026-06-23

What is Monkey D. Luffy (ST21-014)?

Monkey D. Luffy (Event Top Prize) · Official Event Top Prize · Japanese · Event Prize rarity. A One Piece TCG card tracked by TCGIntel.

How much is Monkey D. Luffy (ST21-014) worth?

It trades around $2,485 on the recent market. Independent read of a physical collectible — not financial advice.

Should I buy Monkey D. Luffy (ST21-014)?

TCGIntel's current call is BUY (Medium conviction). Founder position disclosed. Independent analysis of a physical collectible — not financial advice.

What's the price target for Monkey D. Luffy (ST21-014)?

Our dated target is $5,000, called 2026-06-23. Founder position disclosed.

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Independent analysis of physical collectibles. USD. Model forecasts, not market quotes. Not financial advice.