Published 2026-07-18 · Horizon 6–24 months · Model forecast — not a market quote
The forecast
6–24mo forecast (high conviction)
$9,000–$24,004
Desirability profile
Why the card is desirable — collectibility vs competitive use. This is a rating, not a price: the fair value above is set only by real comps.
The thesis — why it may be mispriced
The Gold SP 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — the gold-foil anniversary Gear 5 Luffy, and the apex of the OP05-119 serial. Same ornate art as the Silver SP but in gold: it clears ~$12,500 raw and ~$17,000–18,500 PSA 10, with a BGS 10 topping $20,000+.
- The true chase: the scarcest tier of the 3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — a gold-foil showcase SP of the game's flagship character. The ceiling of everything sharing the OP05-119 number.
- The full $15→$33k spread: the same serial covers a ~$15 base SEC, a ~$350 GEAR alt-art, a ~$5,500 manga rare, an ~$8,000 Silver SP — and this Gold SP at the top. Which card you hold is everything.
- Deep five-figure market: EN raw clears $11,000–15,000, PSA 10 $16,700–18,500, BGS 9.5 ~$17,000, BGS 10 ~$20,000. Steady sold velocity at these levels, not a one-off print.
- Fixed, tiny supply: the scarcest anniversary SP tier, out of active print — effective supply is very small and can't grow, outside graded-population creep.
- Falsifiable: appreciation holds only while (1) the anniversary run stays fixed, (2) Gear 5 demand stays strong, (3) the OP TCG market stays healthy, and (4) five-figure liquidity holds. Break one and the thesis breaks.
Biggest risk: A five-figure card is the most exposed of all to a broad TCG correction — chase cards fall first and fastest, and thin high-ticket markets swing hard on a single sale. Comps carry noise: a $55k 'grade 10' sale and a stale $3,600 JP print both had to be excluded to price honestly, and the raw-vs-graded premium is thin relative to the grading gamble. The same serial spans $15→$33,000, so a mis-identified listing is the most expensive mistake in the game. Model estimate, not financial advice — verify the gold foil, region and grade.
Sources: eBay sold listings (OP05-119 'A Fist of Divine Speed' Gold SP, raw + PSA 10 + BGS, May–Jul 2026)
Evidence & comparables
- raw anchor ~$11500 from 4 sold comps ($11000–$12500); latest 2026-07-08.
- Liquidity ~4.0 sales/yr; rising regime.
Comparables: OP05-119 Silver SP (~$8,000 raw / ~$11k PSA 10) · OP05-119 Manga Rare (~$5,500 raw / ~$19k PSA 10) · OP05-119 GEAR alt-art (~$350 raw) · OP05-119 base SEC (~$15)
Forecast band
Bull
$29,683
Bear
$9,000
6–24mo range
$9,000–$24,004
What would change our mind
Revise higher if
- Sold-velocity rises / liquidity deepens for this exact variant
- PSA population stays flat (scarcity holds)
Revise lower if
- A reprint or a new serialized run is announced
- PSA population grows materially (scarcity erodes)
The ledger — permanent & accountable
No settled comp yet — the clock is running. This forecast is frozen and will resolve to a terminal verdict at the horizon. Never edited.
Factor breakdown
A weighted summary (weights shown) — the collector and competitive axes are scored separately, so competitive factors never drag the collector headline.
Collector factors — 74/100
- Character popularity10/10 ×3
Monkey D. Luffy Gear 5 — the franchise's flagship; the gold anniversary SP is a top-tier chase of the character.
- Comparable Winner cards6/10 ×3
Priced on its own deep SP comps (NO_MODEL); the gold sibling of the Silver SP, at ~1.5–2× its price.
- Tournament exclusivity6/10 ×3
3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' Gold SP — the scarcest tier of the anniversary distribution.
- Artwork uniqueness10/10 ×2.5
Ornate art-nouveau anniversary frame in gold foil — the premium showcase treatment of the set.
- Collector demand10/10 ×2
Deep five-figure demand; steady EN raw sold $11,000–15,000 and PSA 10 $16,700–18,500.
- Winner-card history5/10 ×2
Not a winner-stamp print; anniversary-SP scarcity behaves as a fixed limited run.
- Existing versions2/10 ×1.5
OP05-119 spans a ~$15 base to this ~$33k-topping Gold SP; extreme same-number confusion. This is the apex tier.
- Estimated print availability9/10 ×1.5
Scarcest anniversary SP tier; out of active print — supply is fixed and very small.
- Set importance8/10 ×1.5
3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — a flagship anniversary product; the Gold SP is its headline pull.
- Regional availability5/10 ×1
Printed across regions; EN copies command the top of the market. A BGS 10 has cleared ~$20,000+.
| Factor | Score | Weight | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Character popularity | 10/10 | ×3 | Monkey D. Luffy Gear 5 — the franchise's flagship; the gold anniversary SP is a top-tier chase of the character. |
| Comparable Winner cards | 6/10 | ×3 | Priced on its own deep SP comps (NO_MODEL); the gold sibling of the Silver SP, at ~1.5–2× its price. |
| Tournament exclusivity | 6/10 | ×3 | 3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' Gold SP — the scarcest tier of the anniversary distribution. |
| Artwork uniqueness | 10/10 | ×2.5 | Ornate art-nouveau anniversary frame in gold foil — the premium showcase treatment of the set. |
| Collector demand | 10/10 | ×2 | Deep five-figure demand; steady EN raw sold $11,000–15,000 and PSA 10 $16,700–18,500. |
| Winner-card history | 5/10 | ×2 | Not a winner-stamp print; anniversary-SP scarcity behaves as a fixed limited run. |
| Existing versions | 2/10 | ×1.5 | OP05-119 spans a ~$15 base to this ~$33k-topping Gold SP; extreme same-number confusion. This is the apex tier. |
| Estimated print availability | 9/10 | ×1.5 | Scarcest anniversary SP tier; out of active print — supply is fixed and very small. |
| Set importance | 8/10 | ×1.5 | 3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — a flagship anniversary product; the Gold SP is its headline pull. |
| Regional availability | 5/10 | ×1 | Printed across regions; EN copies command the top of the market. A BGS 10 has cleared ~$20,000+. |
Competitive factors — 25/100
- Tournament playability3/10 ×1
A playable Luffy, but this SP is collected, not sleeved.
- Meta relevance2/10 ×1
Value is collector/anniversary-scarcity driven, not competitive-meta driven.
| Factor | Score | Weight | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tournament playability | 3/10 | ×1 | A playable Luffy, but this SP is collected, not sleeved. |
| Meta relevance | 2/10 | ×1 | Value is collector/anniversary-scarcity driven, not competitive-meta driven. |