Published 2026-07-18 · Horizon 6–24 months · Model forecast — not a market quote
The forecast
6–24mo forecast (high conviction)
$1,800–$7,714
Desirability profile
Why the card is desirable — collectibility vs competitive use. This is a rating, not a price: the fair value above is set only by real comps.
The thesis — why it may be mispriced
The Silver SP 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — the rainbow-foil anniversary Gear 5 Luffy carrying the OP05-119 serial. Not the ~$15 base and not the cheap non-foil 'special card': the EN/JP Silver SP clears ~$8,000 raw and ~$11,000 PSA 10.
- Anniversary chase: the 3rd Anniversary ornate art-nouveau SP of Gear 5 Luffy — a showcase foil of the game's flagship character, on a fixed limited run.
- Same serial, huge spread: OP05-119 runs from a ~$15 base to a ~$33k Gold SP. This Silver SP is the mid-high tier — match the exact foil and region before pricing.
- Watch the region gap: EN/JP Silver SPs clear ~$7,000–8,900, but Chinese/Korean copies of the same art clear ~$1,850–4,300 — a ~2–3× regional arbitrage.
- Liquid four-figure market: steady EN/JP raw sold in the $7,000–8,900 band; PSA 10 ~$11,000. Deep sold history supports the read.
- Falsifiable: the read holds only while (1) the anniversary run stays fixed, (2) Gear 5 demand holds, (3) the market stays healthy, and (4) the EN/JP band holds above ~$6,000. A drop into the low thousands breaks it.
Biggest risk: A four-figure anniversary SP is exposed to broad TCG sentiment and to grading gambles (raw ~$8k vs PSA 10 ~$11k is a thin premium for the grading risk). The region split is a live trap — a Chinese/Korean copy sold as 'EN Silver SP' is worth roughly a third. A cheap non-foil 'A Fist of Divine Speed' special card (~$10–320) shares the name and constantly confuses casual listings. Model estimate, not financial advice — verify the foil, region and grade.
Sources: eBay sold listings (OP05-119 'A Fist of Divine Speed' Silver, raw + PSA 10, May–Jul 2026)
Evidence & comparables
- raw anchor ~$8600 from 4 sold comps ($8600–$8750); latest 2026-07-16.
- Liquidity ~4.0 sales/yr; falling regime.
Comparables: OP05-119 Gold SP (~$12,500 raw / ~$17k PSA 10) · OP05-119 Manga Rare (~$5,500 raw) · OP05-119 base SEC (~$15) · OP05-119 non-foil special card (~$10–320)
Forecast band
Bull
$9,606
Bear
$1,800
6–24mo range
$1,800–$7,714
What would change our mind
Revise higher if
- Sold-velocity rises / liquidity deepens for this exact variant
- PSA population stays flat (scarcity holds)
Revise lower if
- A reprint or a new serialized run is announced
- PSA population grows materially (scarcity erodes)
The ledger — permanent & accountable
No settled comp yet — the clock is running. This forecast is frozen and will resolve to a terminal verdict at the horizon. Never edited.
Factor breakdown
A weighted summary (weights shown) — the collector and competitive axes are scored separately, so competitive factors never drag the collector headline.
Collector factors — 69/100
- Character popularity10/10 ×3
Monkey D. Luffy Gear 5 — the franchise's flagship character; anniversary SPs of him are premier chases.
- Comparable Winner cards6/10 ×3
Priced on its own deep SP comps (NO_MODEL); pairs with the Gold SP sibling of the same art.
- Tournament exclusivity5/10 ×3
3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' SP — a limited anniversary distribution, not a booster pull.
- Artwork uniqueness9/10 ×2.5
Ornate art-nouveau anniversary frame with rainbow/pastel silver foil — a showcase SP treatment.
- Collector demand9/10 ×2
Strong, liquid four-figure demand; steady EN/JP sold velocity in the $7,000–8,900 raw band.
- Winner-card history5/10 ×2
Not a winner-stamp print; anniversary-SP scarcity behaves as a fixed limited run.
- Existing versions2/10 ×1.5
OP05-119 spans a ~$15 base up to a ~$33k Gold SP; this Silver SP is one of two anniversary foils, and a cheap non-foil 'special card' also exists (~$10–320).
- Estimated print availability8/10 ×1.5
Limited anniversary SP run; out of active print — supply is fixed.
- Set importance8/10 ×1.5
3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — a flagship anniversary product.
- Regional availability4/10 ×1
Big region split — EN/JP clear ~$7,000–8,900 while Chinese/Korean copies clear ~$1,850–4,300 on the same art.
| Factor | Score | Weight | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Character popularity | 10/10 | ×3 | Monkey D. Luffy Gear 5 — the franchise's flagship character; anniversary SPs of him are premier chases. |
| Comparable Winner cards | 6/10 | ×3 | Priced on its own deep SP comps (NO_MODEL); pairs with the Gold SP sibling of the same art. |
| Tournament exclusivity | 5/10 | ×3 | 3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' SP — a limited anniversary distribution, not a booster pull. |
| Artwork uniqueness | 9/10 | ×2.5 | Ornate art-nouveau anniversary frame with rainbow/pastel silver foil — a showcase SP treatment. |
| Collector demand | 9/10 | ×2 | Strong, liquid four-figure demand; steady EN/JP sold velocity in the $7,000–8,900 raw band. |
| Winner-card history | 5/10 | ×2 | Not a winner-stamp print; anniversary-SP scarcity behaves as a fixed limited run. |
| Existing versions | 2/10 | ×1.5 | OP05-119 spans a ~$15 base up to a ~$33k Gold SP; this Silver SP is one of two anniversary foils, and a cheap non-foil 'special card' also exists (~$10–320). |
| Estimated print availability | 8/10 | ×1.5 | Limited anniversary SP run; out of active print — supply is fixed. |
| Set importance | 8/10 | ×1.5 | 3rd Anniversary 'A Fist of Divine Speed' — a flagship anniversary product. |
| Regional availability | 4/10 | ×1 | Big region split — EN/JP clear ~$7,000–8,900 while Chinese/Korean copies clear ~$1,850–4,300 on the same art. |
Competitive factors — 25/100
- Tournament playability3/10 ×1
A playable Luffy, but this SP is collected, not sleeved.
- Meta relevance2/10 ×1
Value is collector/anniversary-scarcity driven, not competitive-meta driven.
| Factor | Score | Weight | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tournament playability | 3/10 | ×1 | A playable Luffy, but this SP is collected, not sleeved. |
| Meta relevance | 2/10 | ×1 | Value is collector/anniversary-scarcity driven, not competitive-meta driven. |